So with this week's results throwing up a surprise point for Hanwell at Chesham on Tuesday, and a point for Dorchester at Totton last night (they were 3-0 down at Totton until about 62' or thereabouts), it leaves both of them 2pts behind us and each with a game in hand.
Tiverton down in 20th have 3 games in hand and are 7pts behind us. Swindon on the same games played and 3pts behind. Sholing level with us on 37pts but with a game in hand.
I think we can discount Plymouth Parkway from proceedings as they have a whopping 8 (yes EIGHT!) games in hand and are only 6pts behind us.
The good news for us is that our goal difference is superior to all our rivals. That's worth an extra point as the old saying goes. But Basingstoke is a massive game on Saturday. Win that and we pull them right into the fight to stay up too. Especially as they have played a game more than us.
Another positive is that we're only 6pts off of 9th place so a couple of wins on the spin could change the picture dramatically for us, for the better. A tough run in but all to play for!
YOU 'AYES!!!!!
As it stands...
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Mr Heinstein
- Posts: 72
- Joined: Sun Dec 31, 2023 4:43 pm
Re: As it stands...
Great analysis, thanks.
With such differences in games played it's difficult to gauge our level of safety right now. However, if we play anywhere close to our potential we should head to safety, enjoy the cup final and the new bar! (OK, Two Out Of Three Ain't Bad)
With such differences in games played it's difficult to gauge our level of safety right now. However, if we play anywhere close to our potential we should head to safety, enjoy the cup final and the new bar! (OK, Two Out Of Three Ain't Bad)
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Churchroadtilidie
- Posts: 39
- Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:40 am
Re: As it stands...
Basingstoke are already on 43 points so I do not think they have realistic relegation fears irrespective of the result tomorrow. We have to start looking at how many points will be needed to ensure survival.
Last season 38 points was enough to stay up and the season before 42 would have been sufficient to finish fifth from bottom. I would estimate that this season will be a lot closer to 48-50 points given that Chesham are the only team likely to reach 90 points and Salisbury/Gosport are the only others any where close to 2 points per game.
With only 15 points separating 6th and 20th the overall points needed to survive must inevitably be far higher than usual. We still have four matches against the current top 3 so picking up points in the other 7 games looks absolutely essential.
Last season 38 points was enough to stay up and the season before 42 would have been sufficient to finish fifth from bottom. I would estimate that this season will be a lot closer to 48-50 points given that Chesham are the only team likely to reach 90 points and Salisbury/Gosport are the only others any where close to 2 points per game.
With only 15 points separating 6th and 20th the overall points needed to survive must inevitably be far higher than usual. We still have four matches against the current top 3 so picking up points in the other 7 games looks absolutely essential.